Iron ore cash prices to China likely ¡®topped out'
Cash prices for iron ore delivered to China, the world¡¯s biggest buyer, may have peaked this year amid declining steel prices, Bloomberg quoted Liberum Capital as saying that.
The price for ore from Australia is trading at $105 a metric ton after dropping last week from a high this year of $105.90, according to The Steel Index.
Benchmark steel prices in China last week had their first decline in six weeks, while a measure of commodity shipping costs on the Baltic Dry Index slumped 17 percent this month on speculation the nation¡¯s demand for iron ore may be slowing. The Steel Index price has risen 46 percent this year as the Chinese government¡¯s stimulus plan spurred demand.
¡°The vertiginous rise in the spot iron ore price into China seems finally to have paused last week with prices topping out,¡± Liberum analysts said Monday in an e-mailed note. ¡°We feel we have now seen the highs for the year,¡± they said, citing the decline in steel and cargo prices.
Iron ore swaps for settlement this month traded at $100.60 a ton on Aug 17, according to SGX AsiaClear over-the-counter prices from Singapore Exchange Ltd. They indicate prices may drop to $96.08 by December.
Ore from India dropped last week for the first time in four months, declining 0.5 percent to $110.50 a ton, according to Metal Bulletin.
The world¡¯s three biggest suppliers BHP Billiton Ltd, Rio Tinto Group and Vale SA, control two-thirds of the world¡¯s seaborne trade. |